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指纹识别成行业新宠,价格战不可避免?
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时间:2017-06-06 09:38:19
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季度全球指纹芯片发货量竟然高达3亿!行情已经这么好了么?厂商蜂拥而上,2017年指纹芯片行业又将出现怎样激烈的竞争格局呢?
一季度全球指纹芯片发货量近3亿
2017年一季度全球搭载指纹识别智能手机出货量约1.8亿部,占全球智能手机总出货量的53.7%,同比上升约18个百分点;一季度全球指纹芯片出货量约2.7亿颗,同比增长约60.4%;晶圆厂的指纹识别的产能投入占比约13%。
为何一季度指纹芯片出货量如此之大呢,分析有以下原因:
晶圆涨价 指纹芯片厂家抢夺产能
随着指纹识别成为智能手机标配,FPC、汇顶、敦泰等指纹芯片厂商的IC产能需求呈现爆发式增长,台积电、联电、世界先进、中芯国际出现8寸晶圆产能提前争夺的现象,引发了一波抢产能热潮。今年三季度晶圆代工龙头台积电的8寸厂及12寸晶圆生产线已经出现满载情况,越来越多的芯片厂商向中芯国际和联电等晶圆代工厂调配产能。 据统计,在指纹芯片厂商中,除了苹果是采用台积电12寸晶圆的65nm制程外,其他10家 指纹芯片 厂商全部是使用8寸晶圆以及0.18um制程。
2017年年初指纹芯片需求还在持续增长,加快了芯片厂预备库存的步伐,对国内晶圆厂商中芯国际、华润上华以及华虹宏力等的晶圆扩产能力提出了新的挑战。TSMC台积电、UMC台联电以及美光在内的半导体公司都接到了上游供应链厂商的涨价通知,要求2017年Q1季度将12寸晶圆价格提升10-20%。加上晶圆厂库存处于低位水平,加重了晶圆制造的不确定因素,明年的部分型号价格预计还会上涨30-50%。
晶圆价格上涨速度令人咋舌,指纹芯片厂商抢夺产能,卯足劲生产以占得市场先机,怪不得出货量猛增了!
指纹识别成行业新宠,新入厂商增多
过去一年,指纹识别已然成为行业新宠。根据上市公司公布的财报显示,2016年,指纹芯片行业是消费电子领域少有的高利润产业,平均毛利维持在40%-50%。进入一季度后,镀膜(Coating)电容式指纹识别模组的价格遭遇了激烈的竞争,电容式指纹识别模组的平均价格均保持下行趋势,总出货量呈上行态势。
指纹芯片厂家积极投入研发
2 017年全球曲面屏智能手机出货量约1.5亿部水平,除了Samsung S8之外,Apple iPhone8、华为、Oppo、Vivo等整机厂的大量曲面屏手机将在下半年上市,前置隐藏式的指纹识别方案,即所谓的in-display方案相信很快会到来。传统电容式的前置隐藏式指纹方案也可能会有所突破。指纹芯片厂家的高积极性,以及对未来指纹芯片行业前景的看好,给全球指纹芯片的高出货量助了把力!
未来指纹芯片发展预测
业内预期为2017年指纹芯片需求量可望从2亿颗倍增至4亿颗。 包括FPC、思立微、神盾、汇顶等指纹芯片厂商持续放量,也带动晶圆代工厂订单大增,指纹芯片将持续塞爆8寸厂产能。
亚洲厂商或独占市场
2017年指纹芯片晶圆代工订单变化将比较大,几乎每家晶圆代工厂都参与战局。很多指纹芯片厂商凭借出货量规模优势,开始寻求第二供应商,这将带动指纹芯片上、下游产业百花齐放。从2016年大趋势看,国产厂商崛起速度惊人,打着物美价廉的旗帜,2017年FPC已成为众多厂商对标的目标。业内认为,欧美系指纹芯片厂商在成本上还是无法拼过国内厂商,预计未来指纹芯片行业将重演LCD Driver IC产业历史,最终由亚洲厂商独占市场。
随着指纹芯片技术和产业的成熟,越来越多国内指纹芯片厂商参与其中,目前国产厂商中汇顶势头最为迅猛,拿下了几乎所有的国内主要的手机品牌厂商。包括vivo、小米、魅族、乐视、金立、中兴等等。华为以前几乎全部FPC为主,Amotech 目前也已经开始扩展到思立微和汇顶的解决方案。预计国内厂商将在今年下半年取代FPC,成为华为第一大供应商。
价格战不可避免
整体看,2017年指纹芯片市场价格战不可避免。很多国际大品牌因为成本或服务,将被国产厂商取代。而国产厂商内部,很多竞争力比较弱小的厂商更会做出拼死一搏的举动,利用价格战搅局市场。要保持持续领先,还需厂商持续不断的提高技术和服务水平。
另外,现有指纹表现形式能否在今年有所突破也是看点之一,例如人们希望全屏指纹识别等。